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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Saturday, 11 September 21
CIL STEPS UP SUPPLY COAL TO POWER SECTOR; PER-DAY AVERAGE 20 PC HIGHER THAN LAST YEAR - PTI
State-owned CIL on Friday said it has stepped up the supply of coal to the power sector in the first eight days of the current month, with an avera ...
Saturday, 11 September 21
RECORD CHINESE COAL FUTURES SIGNAL NEED TO BOOST OUTPUT - REUTERS
China’s coal prices have climbed to a record high, signaling the need for more production in the short term, even as the government tries to ...
Saturday, 11 September 21
IN 2022, EIA EXPECTS U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TO INCREASE BY 47 MMST TO 648 MMST
U.S. Coal production accordng to EIA's forecast, totals 601 million short tons (MMst) in 2021, 66 MMst more than in 2020, EIA's Short-Term ...
Wednesday, 08 September 21
FITCH RATINGS RAISES THERMAL COAL PRICE ASSUMPTIONS ON TIGHT SUPPLY
Fitch Ratings has increased all its Qinhuangdao 5,500kcal/kg price assumptions and short- and medium-term Newcastle 6,000kcal/kg price assumptions ...
Wednesday, 08 September 21
COAL IS STILL KING; INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE ABOVE $150 FOR FIRST TIME IN HISTORY
COALspot.com: The Indonesian Coal Price Reference rose dramatically from US$ 127.05 in February 2011, to a peak of US$ 150.03 in September 2021, be ...
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Planning Commission, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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