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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 30 June 12
THE FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE STEADY TO FIRM NEXT WEEK - VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com – The BDI was up by 2.66 pct (up by 26 points) closing at 1,004 points crossing the 1000 point barrier this week.
The c ...
Friday, 29 June 12
INDONESIAN PRODUCERS ARE PLANNING TO CUT PRODUCTION IF COAL PRICES FALL FURTHER
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world largest multi grade coal exporter, shipped 31.54* million tons of coal in May 2012, compared to 31.86* mill ...
Friday, 29 June 12
DRY BULK SHIP OWNERS DOING THEIR MATHS BEFORE PLACING NEWBUILDING ORDERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With oversupply having plagued the dry bulk shipping fleet since the end of 2011, it’s become ever so evident that placing a newbuilding order ...
Thursday, 28 June 12
DRY BULK MARKET HIGHER ON CAPESIZE OPTIMISM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market inched a bit higher yesterday, as the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) ended up by 0.71% to 988 points. Most ship types were up, with the ...
Wednesday, 27 June 12
DIRECTORATE GENERAL OF MINERAL AND COAL OF INDONESIA INTRODUCES ON-LINE SYSTEM FOR MINING PRODUCTS EXPORT APPROVAL
COALspot.com - Directorate General of Mineral and Coal of Indonesia has released "Clear and Clean" certificate for another 33 coal miners ...
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Planning Commission, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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