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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 11 July 12
HBA DROPPED SHARPLY IN JULY
COALspot.com - Indonesian HBA fell to lowest level since September 2010 in July 2012. The monthly coal reference price for coal sales this mon ...
Wednesday, 11 July 12
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP LOST $ 1.26 PER TON
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit FOB Indonesia Coal decline for a second day yesterday, according to SGX AsiaClear OTC Coal Swaps. The prices for shipments to ...
Tuesday, 10 July 12
DRY BULK MARKET RECORDS MODEST GAINS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market inched a bit higher on Monday, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) ending the session up by 5 points to 1,162. Most markets were hig ...
Saturday, 07 July 12
INDONESIA-JAPAN RELATIONS TURN SOUR - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post, the one of the leading Indonesian English new papers reported that, Bilateral relations between Indonesia and Japan have recently ...
Saturday, 07 July 12
EXCESS SUPPLY & WEAK DEMAND KEEP COAL PRICES LOW
COALspot.com - SGX AsiaClear OTC Coal Swaps for August and Q4 deliveries slipped slightly this week. SGX’s Indonesian sub-bituminous coal swap ...
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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