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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 25 August 12
INDONESIAN COAL SWAP REMAINS STABLE AT LOW LEVEL
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for October 2012 delivery gain 0.804 percent W-o-W on Friday (24 August 2012) closing but lost 0. ...
Thursday, 23 August 12
INDONESIA-INDIA, LARGE ECO SUPRA FIXED AT USD 6K FOR DELIVERY SOUTH CHINA - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The market continued the same trend as last week, low activity and holidays in some countries.
Rate wise unchanged, with US Gulf/Continent ...
Thursday, 23 August 12
EGCO GROUP EXPANDS TOWARDS INTEGRATED ENERGY BUSINESS WITH INVESTMENT IN INDONESIAS COAL MINE
Electricity Generating Public Company Limited or EGCO Group, the Thailand’s first Independent Power Producer has continually invaded foreign m ...
Thursday, 23 August 12
EGCO GROUP ANNOUNCES 2 BILLION BAHT PROFITS IN Q2/2012
Successfully Establishes Integrated Energy Business and Strengthen Investments in ASEAN
Mr. Sahust Pratuknukul, President of Electri ...
Monday, 20 August 12
CHINESE COAL SWAPS RISE, INDONESIAN COAL CONTRACTS SOFT
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for October 2012 delivery lost -2.05 percent W-o-W on Friday (17 August 2012) closing but gained ...
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- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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