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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 04 September 12
ORPHEUS SECURES ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT KINTAP COAL PROJECT IN SOUTH KALIMANTAN
COALspot.com - Indonesian coal producer, Orpheus Energy (ASX:OEG) has announced that it has secured a 50% equity ownership in an additional tenement ...
Monday, 03 September 12
SHIPOWNERS TO WAIT FOR FURTHER PRICE REDUCTIONS IN THE SECOND HAND VESSEL MARKETS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With September now upon us, shipbrokers are looking towards an interesting winter season, as ship owners are looking to capitalize on more second ha ...
Sunday, 02 September 12
ADAROS COAL ROYALTIES TO THE GOVERNMENT INCREASED BY 10.5 PERCENT Y-O-Y TO US$196.8 MILLION
COALspot.com - PT Adaro Energy Tbk (IDX: ADRO), the second largest power plant coal producer in Indonesia, announced its consolidated auditor-review ...
Saturday, 01 September 12
FALLING PRICES; BLEEDING MINERS
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for October 2012 delivery lost 4.070 percent and 0.422 percent respectively on W-o-W and D- ...
Saturday, 01 September 12
PANAMAX FREIGHT RATES UNDER PRESSURE FROM LOW DEMAND - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This week the freight market was weak with mixed results.
The BDI was down by 1.95 pct closing at 703 points, however there was so ...
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- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Planning Commission, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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