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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 13 September 12
FUEL EFFICIENT SHIPS MAY BE MORE EXPENSIVE, BUT THEY MAKE FINANCIAL SENSE SAYS ANALYSIS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The latest trend in shipbuilding is the so called "Eco" ship, i.e. ships which offer much better fuel consumption and are more cost-effect ...
Wednesday, 12 September 12
INDIAS COALGATE: TIME FOR A ROOT CANAL
A recent report from India’s Comptroller and Auditor General (CAG) pertaining to the allocation of coal blocks has created a political storm i ...
Tuesday, 11 September 12
CLOUDY AND POLICY RISK INDONESIAN COAL INDUSTRY
COALspot.com - Bahana Securities in its latest coal outlook, commented on the Indonesian coal market, with economic slowdown in the four largest coa ...
Tuesday, 11 September 12
SHIP OWNERS KEEN ON SECOND HAND VESSEL PURCHASES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With most ship owners back from their summer rest, things are starting to pick up again in the second hand vessel market, with more and more deals b ...
Monday, 10 September 12
TNPL, AN INDIAN PAPER MAKER IS SEEKING FOR 300K MT OF IMPORTED NON-COKING COAL
COALspot.com - Tamil Nadu Newsprint & Papers Ltd. , an Indian paper maker, is seeking 300,000 metric tons ± 5% (In 6 Shipments about 50,0 ...
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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