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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 06 May 13
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE FALLS CONTINUE
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government’s declared coal bench mark price has lost $ 3.23 / MT in May 2013.
The monthly coal pr ...
Sunday, 05 May 13
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL - MIXED TREND; API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL - POSITIVE TREND
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average June 2013 delivery has gained 0.28 percent and API 8 CFR South China Coal shipment&nb ...
Saturday, 04 May 13
INDONESIA TO INDIA PANAMAX FREIGHT : FLAT TO SOFT - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com - The demand for iron ore picked up and its pushed up the cape size index by 7.86 pct. Cape index closed at 1,344 points. The BDI ...
Friday, 03 May 13
US PRODUCED 17.9 MILLION SHORT TONS (MMST) OF COAL IN A WEEK
COALspot.com - U.S. produced totaled approximately 17.9 million short tons (mmst) in a week (For the week ended April 27, 2013), EIA said in its lat ...
Friday, 03 May 13
SHIP OWNERS ARE INVESTING HEAVILY IN DRY BULK CARRIER NEWBUILDINGS ONCE MORE: IS THERE ANY RATIONALE? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite the fact that the dry bulk market remains heavily oversupplied and just as the orderbook of newbuildings had began to shrink, it seems that sh ...
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- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The University of Queensland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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