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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 19 May 13
COAL PRICES ARE SLUMPING DUE TO WEAK DEMAND
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average July 2013 delivery have gained 0.03 percent and API 8 CFR South China Coal shipment g ...
Sunday, 19 May 13
FREIGHT RATES TO REMAIN UNSTABLE AND VOLATILE - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com – The freight remained weak this week with all the segments down.
The BDI, the Baltic Dry Index is a number issued daily by th ...
Friday, 17 May 13
US COAL PRODUCTION CLIMBED 3.35 PER CENT WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com - U.S. produced totaled approximately 18.50 million short tons (mmst) in a week (For the week ended May 11, 2013), EIA said in its late ...
Thursday, 16 May 13
PANAMAX: THE FORWARD CURVE IS FALLING GRADUALLY - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The Atlantic market remained quiet. The USG-Feast was at USD 19k and Black Sea-Feast was at USD 11k. The Pacific market remained uncertain as ...
Tuesday, 14 May 13
KALIMANTAN COAL
Press Release : After a very successful conference in 2012, the second annual event will address latest market developments and address the future p ...
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- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
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