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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 24 June 13
INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR AUGUST 2013 DELIVERY GAINS WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – Coal prices for immediate supply contracts have started moving up, but prices for next year supply shows a negative trend ...
Sunday, 23 June 13
BDI CROSSED ITS PSYCHOLOGICAL BARRIER THIS WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com : The BDI crossed the psychological barrier of 1000 points after many months and closed at 1,027 points, which were up by 14.11 pct wee ...
Sunday, 23 June 13
SHIP PRICES NOT FOLLOWING FREIGHT MARKET FUNDAMENTALS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Although it's been the case in many occasions in the past, it appears that ship prices haven't been quite following freight market fundamentals, i ...
Friday, 21 June 13
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION INCREASED WEEK ON WEEK, EIA SAYS
COALspot.com – United states the world’s second largest coal producer produced totalled approximately 19.70 million short tons (mmst) of ...
Thursday, 20 June 13
CAPESIZE : FINALLY A SUBSTANTIAL IMPROVEMENT IN RATES! - FEARNLEYS A.S
Handy
Atlantic market kept a steady curve from last week. US Gulf positions fetched tick above USD 21k for Cont/Skaw direction, and vessels fixed f ...
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- White Energy Company Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
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