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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 17 July 13
NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORTS FELL 3.85% ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,860,149 tons of coal for the week ended 0700 hours 15 July 2013, Newcastle Port Corp. s ...
Wednesday, 17 July 13
TORN BETWEEN A CREDIT CRUNCH AND SUSTAINABLE GROWTH - GEORGE DERMATIS
COALspot.com: In 2012 China expanded at a rate of 7.8%, its worst annual performance in 13 years, raising criticism over the newly appointed governm ...
Tuesday, 16 July 13
TAKE - OR - PAY CONTRACTS CONTINUE TO INCENTIVISE AUSTRALIAN COAL PRODUCERS DESPITE POTENTIAL NEGATIVE CASH MARGINS - WOOD MACKENZIE
Australia's coal production has continued to grow, despite lower coal prices in 2013. Global investors and suppliers are therefore questioning whet ...
Monday, 15 July 13
INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT HAS REVISED DOWN ITS JULY BENCH-MARK COAL PRICE TO US$ 81.69 PER MT
COALspot. com - Indonesian Coal Price Reference dropped 3.75 % and hitting a 2013 low. The Indonesian government has revised down its owned coal ben ...
Monday, 15 July 13
INDO COAL SWAPS ARE STRUGGLING FOR RIGHT DIRECTION
COALspot.com – Indo coal swaps are struggling to find the right direction. Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average August 2013 d ...
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Australian Coal Association
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The University of Queensland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
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