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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 22 September 13
BDI STRENGTHENS FURTHER AS CAPESIZE FREIGHT RATES JUMP - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com: The freight market continued its upward trend and maintaining the moment with BDI and Cape index up by 16 pct week on week. The Capesi ...
Sunday, 22 September 13
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS ADVANCE
COALspot.com : SGX has launched API 8 CFR South China Coal Swap on 29 April 2013 and SGX replaced the previous swap.
API 8 CFR South China Coal s ...
Sunday, 22 September 13
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAPS REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery down 2.09 percept month on month on Friday 20 September 2 ...
Friday, 20 September 13
SHIP OWNERS INVEST MORE THAN $9.2 BILLION ON NEW BUILDING VESSELS DURING AUGUST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Despite the fact that August is traditionally a slow month in terms of ships investment activity, ship owners have grasped this year the opportunity ...
Friday, 20 September 13
DRY BULK MARKET REACHES NEW HEIGHTS THIS WEEK STANDING AT THREE-YEAR HIGH - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The biggest rally of the dry bulk market in more than three years have brought back joy among ship owners, especially those active in the Capesize m ...
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The University of Queensland
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Australian Coal Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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