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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 01 October 13
DRY BULK MARKET POISED FOR RETREAT ON CHINA HOLIDAY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The start of a national weeklong in China as of Tuesday is expected to put a lid in the latest rally of the dry bulk freight market, as has always b ...
Monday, 30 September 13
NEWCASTLE'S COAL EXPORT VOLUME CONTINUES TO SLIP
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port fell 8.38 per cent week on week to 2.67 million mt fo ...
Monday, 30 September 13
PANAMAX CHARTER RATES TOUCHING US$ 18K FOR A TRIP TO NOPAC - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com : The freight market continued to remain firm, BDI and the Panamax index up week ended 27 September 2013.
The cape index was fell to ...
Sunday, 29 September 13
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL Q3 2014 DELIVERY SWAP GAINED $1.19 M-O-M
COALspot.com : SGX has launched API 8 CFR South China Coal Swap on 29 April 2013 and SGX replaced the previous swap.
API 8 CFR South China Coal s ...
Sunday, 29 September 13
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP FELL ON MONTH AND WEEK
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery fell 3.93 percept month on month on Friday 27 September 2 ...
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- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The University of Queensland
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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