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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 14 December 21
COAL LOCK-IN IN SOUTHEAST ASIA PRESENTS A CHALLENGE FOR THE ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK'S COAL RETIREMENT PLAN - IEEFA
In August, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) announced an ambitious plan to buy high emissions coal-fired power plants in Southeast Asia and retire ...
Saturday, 11 December 21
BUNKER BUYERS LOSE UP TO $5/MT FOR NOT COVERING ENOUGH SUPPLIERS - INTEGR8 FUELS
With the Brent price recently touching the $80 mark and before the Omicron variant concerns pushed it lower, bunker prices reached levels not seen ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
SUPERCYCLE DEMAND: ARE WE THERE YET? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Taking young children on a long journey is fraught with challenges, not least the inevitable question a few minutes after leaving: are we there yet ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
COAL WOULD REMAIN ENERGY LEADER FOR AT LEAST 15 YEARS - LIVEMINT
Coal India Ltd (CIL) has been in the eye of the storm after fuel stocks at coal-fuelled power plants depleted in October. Fuel stocks since are bei ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
GLOBAL SHIPPING OUTLOOK TURNS STABLE FROM POSITIVE ON THE BACK OF PEAKING EARNINGS DURING 2021 - MOODY'S
The outlook for the global shipping industry is changed to stable from positive for the next 12 to 18 months due to demand slightly outstripping su ...
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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