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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 04 March 14
HIGHER PRICES AND STEADY FREIGHT RATES LEAD SHIP OWNERS TO TEMPORARILY HALT SECOND HAND VESSEL PURCHASES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the dry bulk market has kept on improving, but at a very slow rate, ship owners have elected to take a step back from the flurry of the S&P m ...
Monday, 03 March 14
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP (FOB) FOR AVERAGE Q115 CLOSED AT $60.28, $ 1.70 HIGHER THAN 2Q14
COALspot.com – Indonesia, the world’s largest exporter of the thermal coal's swaps for delivery April - June 2014 slightly corrected do ...
Monday, 03 March 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA SWAPS: Q4' 2014 DELIVERY CLOSED US$ 1.40 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q2' 2014 DELIVERY
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries lost 1.90 percent month on month and closed at US$ 76.27 per mt as on Fr ...
Monday, 03 March 14
COSTS LIABILITY PASSING DOWN A CHARTERPARTY CHAIN - SKULD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Provided that charterparties are on back to back terms, and the claim is successful, liability for costs incurred shoul ...
Sunday, 02 March 14
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS STEADY TO FIRM THIS PAST WEEK - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com: The freight market was steady to firm this past week. The BDI was up 7.06 pct and closed at 1258 points and the cape index was also fi ...
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- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
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