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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 30 June 14
INDO - INDIA FREIGHT RATES CONTINUE TO WEAK
COALspot.com: The latest dry Index shows that average all-in spot freight declined, the Panamax and Supramax slipping by 9.11 percent and 4% respec ...
Friday, 27 June 14
DRY BULK MARKET STILL LOOKING FOR UPSIDE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has kept up its lacklustre performance during the past week, as evidenced by the course of the Baltic Dry Index (BDI). The BDI ...
Thursday, 26 June 14
PANAMAX : A PACIFIC ROUND PAYS AROUND US$ 3K DAILY - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
In the Atlantic there has been little activity which again has caused rates to slip across all trades. TA´s are now down to US$ 5,500 ...
Thursday, 26 June 14
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR TOTAL 750K MT OF BITUMINOUS COAL FOR 3CY
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) has issued a new tender for supply of total 250,000 MT of bituminous co ...
Thursday, 26 June 14
COAL DIVESTMENT CAMPAIGNS COME WITH RISKY UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES - WCA
Last week I presented to the Expert Group on investments in coal and petroleum companies, the body set up to advise the Norwegian Government on whe ...
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- White Energy Company Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Planning Commission, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
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