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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 23 July 22
STABILITY OF RUSSIAN GAS FLOWS REMAIN UNCERTAIN, DESPITE THE REOPENING OF NORD STREAM - WOOD MACKENZIE
Gazprom confirmed today that regular annual maintenance of Nord Stream is officially over and gas flows restarted at 63 million cubic metres per da ...
Friday, 22 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Faced with uncertainty regarding the most cost-efficient alternative fuels and the future dominant method to reduce their greenhouse emissions, man ...
Friday, 22 July 22
YANCOAL AUSTRALIA CUTS 2022 COAL OUTPUT VIEW AS FLOODS, COVID BITE - REUTERS
Coal miner Yancoal Australia Ltd YAL.AX cut its 2022 output forecast on Wednesday, signalling a hit from higher-than-expected rainfall, COVID-19-le ...
Wednesday, 20 July 22
BOOST FOR BIOFUELS AS IMO REMOVES REGULATORY HURDLE - GARD
MARPOL Annex VI regulations were written for petroleum derived fuels but also apply to biofuels. It has been a challenge to meet the regulatory req ...
Wednesday, 20 July 22
INDONESIA’S COAL EXPORTS TO THE EU INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY RECENTLY
European countries have increased coal imports from Indonesia due to the energy crisis that hit the region after Russia cuts gas exports to Europe. ...
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- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
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