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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 19 November 15
Q3' 16 RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP CLOSED 9% LOWER THAN Q1' 16 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1’ 2016 up week over week and month over month.
The Q1’ 2016 swa ...
Thursday, 19 November 15
RATES FOR CAPES KEPT MOVING SOUTH - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: With the BDI currently standing at less than 30 points above the historical lows marked in February this year and with activity acros ...
Wednesday, 18 November 15
MARKET (SHIPPING) INSIGHT - THEODORE NTALAKOS
Supply VS Demand
According to data from the IMF, global growth for 2015 is projected at 3.1 percent, 0.3 percentage point lower than in 2014, ...
Tuesday, 17 November 15
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR (SEMI) ANTHRACITE COAL FOR SEOCHEON POWER PLANT
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued an new tender for 70,000 Metric Tons of (Semi) Anthracite for Ja ...
Tuesday, 17 November 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS FALL: Q1'16 SLID 11.45% M-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $4.75 per ton (11.45%) month over month to US$ 36.75 per ton. The swap ...
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- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
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