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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Sunday, 22 November 15
INDIA COULD PROVIDE SILVER LINING FOR SHIPPING INDUSTRY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The rise of India as a global player in the shipping market could be just a couple of years away, as the country has the potential to become a seco ...
Friday, 20 November 15
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION FOR THE WEEK ENDING NOVEMBER '14; NO CHANGE FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 16.5 million shor ...
Friday, 20 November 15
NO IMPROVEMENT SEEN IN NEAR-TERM COAL DEMAND; SWAPS CLOSE LOWER
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and flat on week over week. Price of coal seen no improvements this ...
Friday, 20 November 15
CHANGING CRUDE SUPPLY TRENDS MAY HELP EUROPEAN REFINERS - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Changes in global oil supply trends, including high Russian production, the expected renewal of Iranian heavy crude exports and the p ...
Thursday, 19 November 15
CHINA STEEL PRODUCTION CAPACITY TO PEAK IN 2016 - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings today says that China's steel production capacity is likely to peak in 2016, with capacity elimination over the nex ...
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- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
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