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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 23 November 15
NEGATIVE 2016 OUTLOOK FOR WESTERN EUROPEAN STEEL - SAYS FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: European steel in 2016 are both negative for the sector and for issuer ratings.
This reflects our expectation that import levels ...
Monday, 23 November 15
DRY BULK MARKET: NET FLEET GROWTH IS SLOWING DOWN, AS SHIP OWNERS ARE LOOKING FOR WAYS TO ALLEVIATING MARKET MELTDOWN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been in “meltdown” mode for a few weeks now, unable to find support and avoid the fall in historical lows. As s ...
Monday, 23 November 15
CS50 COAL INDEX CLOSED AT $40.27 PER TON; FELL 0.15% FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The 5700 GAR CS (i) coal index fell by US cents 3 per ton week over week on 20 November 2015. CS 57 (5700 GAR coal) index closed at U ...
Monday, 23 November 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FALL FURTHER ON LOW DEMAND
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery declined US$ 6.75 (13.99%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swa ...
Sunday, 22 November 15
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATES TO REMAIN DULL NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was down to historical lows closing at 498 points which is down by almost 95.77 per cent compared to 11,800 points in 2008.
...
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The University of Queensland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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