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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 25 November 15
BIG CHINESE COPPER PROCESSORS DEFEND MARGINS THROUGH R&D, SAYS FITCH
Large Chinese copper processors are focusing on higher value-added products and investing in R&D to enhance their technical know-how to maintai ...
Wednesday, 25 November 15
BIMCO LAUNCHES ANTI-CORRUPTION CLAUSE FOR SHIPPING CONTRACTS WORLDWIDE
COALspot.com: BIMCO, is the world’s largest international shipping association, with 2,200 members in around 130 countries, has now launched ...
Wednesday, 25 November 15
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE VASTARDIS
We have already noticed obvious signs of activity mainly West of Suez, which are currently driving the clean MR market to higher levels. Over the p ...
Tuesday, 24 November 15
COAL SUPPLY PRESSURE PUTS INDONESIAN HBA IN FREE FALL
The coal industry is slowly recognizing that, the current coal price level is not a decrease in price, but a change in pricing to corresp ...
Tuesday, 24 November 15
COAL PRICES SET TO REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE UNTIL 2016 DUE TO OVER SUPPLY GLUT; H1 '16 COAL SWAPS DOWN 13% M-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $5 per ton (12.05%) month over month to US$ 36.50 per ton. The s ...
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- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
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