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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 27 November 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS UP FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1’ 2016 up week over week and month over month.
The Q1’ 2016 swa ...
Thursday, 26 November 15
ITALY'S STEAM COAL IMPORTS EXPECTED TO REACH 16 MILLION TONS AND COKING COAL IMPORTS TO AMOUNT TO 4 MILLION TONS - ASSOCARBONI
ASSOCARBONI LOOKS AT COAL FROM A DIFFERENT ANGLE
- “Coal has made huge steps towards environmental sustainability, making itself t ...
Thursday, 26 November 15
DRY BULK MARKET WILL REBOUND EVENTUALLY, BUT THINGS WILL BECOME EVEN WORSE BEFORE THEY IMPROVE SAYS SHIPBROKER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the dry bulk market’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) reached an all-time late last week and has failed to rebound significantly eve ...
Thursday, 26 November 15
Q3'16 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FALLS 27.5% SINCE 20 FEB 2015
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $5 per ton (12.05%) month over month to US$ 36.50 per ton. The s ...
Wednesday, 25 November 15
INDIA'S POWER GENERATORS FACE LOW, FALLING UTILISATION RATE - FITCH
COAlspot.com: Fitch Ratings says in a new report that the utilisation rate of India's thermal power generation capacity continued to decline in ...
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- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
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