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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 30 November 15
ASSOCARBONI LOOKS AT COAL FROM A DIFFERENT ANGLE
ASSOCARBONI is in favour of an international mechanism to provide financial support to countries building high efficiency low emission coal plants. ...
Monday, 30 November 15
CS 5000 GAR COAL INDEX FIRM D-O-D; WEAK W-O-W
COALspot.com: The 5000 GAR CS (i) coal index up slightly day over day.
According to the system generated index, the CS 50 (5000 GAR coal) was ...
Monday, 30 November 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS REMAINED UNCHANGED FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery declined US$ 4.50 (9.78%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap ...
Sunday, 29 November 15
CAPE INDEX SURGES 383 POINTS WEEK OVER WEEK, BOOSTS BALTIC DRY INDEX
COALspot.com: The Baltic Dry Index, a measure of shipping rates, fell to 498 points on 20 November and touched a 30-year low, but on 27 November th ...
Friday, 27 November 15
INDONESIA COAL SWAPS: WEEK ENDING 20 NOVEMBER CLOSED HIGHER COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and up on week over week. Coal prices seen slight improvements thi ...
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- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
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