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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 03 December 15
PANAMAX BUSINESS REMAINED UNDER PRESSURE LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Following the new record lows the Dry Bulk market witnessed the week prior, the BDI took a much needed breath during the past days.
...
Wednesday, 02 December 15
Q3' 16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP SLIGHTLY UP FOR THE THIRD STRAIGHT WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1’ 2016 up month over month and fell week over week.
The Q1’ 2016 &nbs ...
Wednesday, 02 December 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS
Boom and bust cycles in commodity prices are not something rare, yet they have important implications both for the world economy in general and for ...
Tuesday, 01 December 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP UP THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $3.75 per ton (9.26%) month over month to US$ 36.75 per ton. The swap ...
Tuesday, 01 December 15
TANKERS VERSUS BULKERS - JUST PLAYING CATCH UP? - CLARKSONS
It’s now more than a year since the tanker market took off. In mid-2014 tanker earnings picked up and since then have been in the $30-$40,000 ...
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- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Planning Commission, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Australian Coal Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
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