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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Sunday, 06 December 15
DESPITE TEMPTING NEWBUILDING PRICES, CONTRACTING IN DRY BULK REMAINS LOW - BIMCO
The current newbuilding prices for dry bulk ships has dropped so much that they just passed the lows of 2012 heading downwards and are now at the l ...
Friday, 04 December 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS ARE ALMOST FLAT OVER WEAK DEMAND
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and rose slightly week over week. Coal prices seen very margi ...
Friday, 04 December 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE U.S. FOR W/E NOVEMBER 28TH FELL SLIGHTLY FROM THE PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.0 million shor ...
Friday, 04 December 15
MINING OUTLOOK WEAKENS FURTHER ON FALLING CHINESE DEMAND - FITCH
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings' outlook for the global mining sector in 2016 is firmly negative, reflecting our view that Chinese demand will cont ...
Thursday, 03 December 15
DRY BULK: THERMAL COAL LOWER USAGE UNDER A POTENTIAL NEW CLIMATE DEAL WILL ADVERSELY IMPACT THE MARKET'S RECOVERY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In direct contrast to the tanker market, the dry bulk one has seen demand for key commodities, such a coal, dwindling down over the course of the p ...
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PTC India Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Planning Commission, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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