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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 08 December 15
HOW TO MITIGATE LEGAL RISKS WHEN PURCHASING BUNKERS - LESSONS LEARNED FROM THE OW BUNKER COLLAPSE - THE SWEDISH CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
About a year has passed since OW Bunker & Trading A/S filed for bankruptcy. The collapse shows that there are signifi ...
Monday, 07 December 15
5000 GAR CS (I) COAL INDEX REMAIN THE SAME OVER LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The 5000 GAR CS (i) coal index remain the same over last week.
According to the CS (i) coal (system generated) index, the CS 50 ...
Monday, 07 December 15
COAL DEMAND IN 2016 FAILS TO SUPPORT PRICES; CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS SEEN AT $US 42 A TON
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery declined US$ 1.70 (3.88%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap ...
Sunday, 06 December 15
THE BDI DECLINED BY 3.09 PERCENT TO 563 POINTS ON 4 DECEMBER
COALspot.com: The BDI declined by 3.09 percent to 563 points on 4 December 2015.
The Cape index was also declined by 10.01 percent to 890 poin ...
Sunday, 06 December 15
DRY BULK MARKET ON REVERSE MODE, SET TO BREAK NEW ALL-TIME LOWS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been the negative “star” of the shipping industry for quite some time. In fact if it wasn’t for the boomi ...
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- Planning Commission, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Coal Association
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
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