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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 10 December 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL Q3' 16 DELIVERY SWAP WAS CLOSED 7.27% PER TON LOWER COMPARED TO AVERAGE Q1' 16 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1’ 2016 decline month over month and week over week.
The Q1’ 2016 &nbs ...
Wednesday, 09 December 15
U.S. COAL EXPORTS DECLINE IN 2015 DUE TO SLOWER GROWTH IN WORLD COAL DEMAND AND LOWER INTERNATIONAL COAL PRICES - EIA
COALspot.com: The slower growth in world coal demand and lower international coal prices have contributed to a decline in U.S. coal exports in 2015 ...
Wednesday, 09 December 15
DRY BULK EXPERIENCES THE PERFECT STORM - PANOS TSILINGIRIS
Dry bulk experiences the perfect storm as the slowing of demand predominantly because of China sat atop the exaggerated oversupply. The BDI broke t ...
Tuesday, 08 December 15
OPEC'S DECISION BODES WELL FOR THE TANKER MARKET: STRONG MIDDLE EAST CRUDE EXPORTS WILL CONTINUE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
OPEC’s latest decision to keep up oil production is seen by shipbrokers as a further boost for the tanker market. At the end of last year OPE ...
Tuesday, 08 December 15
Q1' 16 API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 36.73 A TON; 1.73% HIGHER COMPARED TO Q3' 16 PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $1.47 per ton (3.85%) month over month to US$ 36.73 per ton. The swap ...
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- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- VISA Power Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
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