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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 16 December 15
MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
On Friday 4th of December the meeting of OPEC was held in Vienna, Austria. Since its last meeting, oil and product stock levels have continued to r ...
Tuesday, 15 December 15
THE GOVERNMENT DECLARED THERMAL COAL BENCHMARK PRICE CRASHING ONCE AGAIN
COALspot.com: Low coal demand and excess supplies sent Indonesian benchmark coal price down to below 2009 level. HBA has slumped by 1.69% mo ...
Tuesday, 15 December 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FIRM W-W; WEAK M-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $.13 per ton (0.35%) month over month to US$ 37.07 per ton. The swap w ...
Monday, 14 December 15
5000 GAR CS (I) COAL INDEX DECLINE US$ 0.04 PER TON W-O-W
COALspot.com: The 5000 GAR CS (i) coal index decline US$ 0.04 per ton (-0.10 %) week over week.
According to the CS (i) coal (system generated ...
Monday, 14 December 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP IS STILL SLIDING
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery declined US$ 0.93(2.18%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap ...
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
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