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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch R ...
Friday, 18 December 15
WEEKLY U.S. COAL PRODUCTION REMAINS FLAT ACROSS ALL BASINS
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 16.1 million shor ...
Thursday, 17 December 15
THE LOW DEMAND AND EXCESS COAL OUTPUT, KEEP THE FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q1 2016 rose month on month and decline slightly week over week. For the week ended December 11, 20 ...
Thursday, 17 December 15
GLADSTONE PORT COAL RECORD LOOMING, EXPORTS UP 12% - GLADSTONE OBSERVER
COAL exports from Gladstone's port have taken a leap, with more than seven million tonnes leaving the wharves in November.
That increase i ...
Wednesday, 16 December 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP SLUMP 5.5% FROM LAST MONTH
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1’ 2016 decline month over month and week over week.
The Q1’ 2016 &nbs ...
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- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Planning Commission, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
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