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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 25 December 15
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION ESTIMATES DIP 8.5%
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 14.7 million shor ...
Thursday, 24 December 15
Q3' 16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP SHED US$ 0.60 PER TON OVER WEEK, AND STANDS AT US$ 43.25 PER TON
COALspot.com: Q1’ 2016 API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap decline month over month and slightly up week over week.
The Q1’ 2016 FOB R ...
Thursday, 24 December 15
GLOBAL MARINE FUEL REGULATIONS COULD SHOCK REFINING AND OIL MARKETS - OPEC | HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
IMO regulations call for global standards for sulphur content in marine fuel to be tightened to 0.5% from its present 3.5%. There is uncertainty ov ...
Thursday, 24 December 15
DRY BULKERS' VALUES ARE PLUNGING - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Dry bulk carriers’ values are falling across the board, as the fall of freight rates is taking its toll, as is to be expected. In fact, accor ...
Wednesday, 23 December 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - PANOS MAKRINOS
As we are heading towards the end of the year we could argue that most of those involved in the shipping industry share mixed feelings for 2015. Th ...
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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