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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 30 December 15
FINAL DEALS OF THE YEAR TAKING PLACE, AS SHIP OWNERS PREPARE FOR 2016 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The Holidays’ investment lull has taken a grip over the newbuilding and S&P market for second hand vessels, as shipbrokers are reporting ...
Tuesday, 29 December 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS ROSE MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery rose US$ 0.68 (1.64%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap is ...
Monday, 28 December 15
Q2' 15 U.S. STEAM COAL EXPORTS TOTALED 7.0 MMST; DOWN 16.9% FROM Q1 2015 - EIA
COALspot.com: U.S. coal production during second quarter 2015 totaled 211.1 million short tons.
According to EIA’s preliminary quarterly ...
Monday, 28 December 15
NOVEMBER NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORTS DECLINED 11.87%; THE AVERAGE PRICE OF COAL EXPORTS ROSE 1.37%
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $1.120 billio ...
Saturday, 26 December 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS KEEP DROPPING
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and week over week.
According to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's rep ...
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- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
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