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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 07 January 16
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS DELIVERY Q1'16 REMAIN FLAT W-O-W; UP M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery rose another $1.23 per ton (3.35%) this past week compared to the sam ...
Thursday, 07 January 16
SHIPPING WILL REMAIN VOLATILE AND INDISPENSABLE IN 2016 - MOORE STEPHENS
The ultimate definition of an optimist has been characterised as an accordion player with an answerphone. Such extreme optimism might be difficult ...
Wednesday, 06 January 16
NEW COAL PRICE PASS-THROUGH REGULATION BENEFITS CHINA IPPS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings says the new Coal Price Pass-through Mechanism announced by the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) on 31 December ...
Tuesday, 05 January 16
BIG COAL MINERS PLAN HIGHER PRODUCTION THIS YEAR - THE JAKARTA POST
The country’s major coal miners plan to further boost production in 2016 although analysts estimate that an oversupply in the world’s c ...
Tuesday, 05 January 16
THE SHIPPING MARKET IN 2015 AND LOOKING FORWARD - BIMCO
Global economy: menacing clouds in the sky cast a shadow on global economic developments 2015 never really took off, even though the global economi ...
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The University of Queensland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
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