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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Saturday, 09 January 16
BALTIC DRY INDEX SINKS 10% WEEK OVER WEEK TO AN ALL-TIME LOW OF 429 POINTS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange’s main sea freight index, which tracks rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities, decline around 10% we ...
Friday, 08 January 16
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR DELIVERY H1'16 REMAIN FLAT AS DEMAND DROPS OFF
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month, flat week over week. The price for coal has been in a Dull Market sinc ...
Friday, 08 January 16
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q2'16 DELIVERY CLOSED UP $0.13 AT $45.50 PER TON
COALspot.com: Q1’ 2016 API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap decline month over month and slightly up week over week.
The Q1’ 2016 FOB R ...
Friday, 08 January 16
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION DECLINES 1.6% TO 11.7 MMST, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 11.7million short ...
Friday, 08 January 16
DRY BULK MARKET'S CRISIS DEEPENS AS RATES ARE DROPPING TO NEW RECORD LOWS BY THE DAY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Just when you would think that the dry bulk market is reaching its bottom, even as it has long surpassed all-time lows, each day that passes by at ...
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- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Australian Coal Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
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