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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 15 January 16
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS FIRM SLIGHTLY LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap delivery Q1 2016 declined month over month and week over week.
According to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's r ...
Friday, 15 January 16
SHIPPING: 2016 STARTED WITH MISERY ACROSS THE BOARD FOR SHIP OWNERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As one would have expected, the dry bulk market starter the new year where it left off in 2015, plunging to never seen before depths, as the market ...
Friday, 15 January 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ROSE ACROSS ALL BASINS: EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.4 million shor ...
Thursday, 14 January 16
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q3 DELIVERY CLOSED $5.90 LOWER THAN Q1 PRICE
COALspot.com: Q1’ 2016 API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap up month over month and week over week.
The Q1’ 2016 FOB Richards Bay Coal ...
Wednesday, 13 January 16
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED BY 109 MMST IN 2015; COAL EXPORTS DECREASED 21% Y-O-Y
COALspot.com: U.S. coal production declined by 109 million short tons (MMst) (11%) in 2015, the largest decline ever recorded, says EIA.
The 2 ...
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- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Planning Commission, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
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