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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 19 January 16
HAPPY NEW YEAR, COAL PRODUCERS! OR MAYBE NOT - ANDY ROBERTS
To coal producers, 2015 must have seemed far longer than 365 days. From their perspective, as bad as markets were at the beginning of the year, and ...
Tuesday, 19 January 16
COALTRANS ASIA IS RETURNING TO BALI
22nd Coaltrans Asia
Coaltrans Asia is returning to Bali to bring together over 1000 industry decision makers and thought leaders for three day ...
Monday, 18 January 16
INDONESIAN 5700 GAR COAL INDEX ROSE 0.60% WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin decline slightly week over week to averaging $39.93 per ton on this past Friday, acc ...
Monday, 18 January 16
BALTIC DRY SHIPPING INDEX DROPS TO 373 POINTS; DECLINE 13% WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market dropped this week as the BDI declined further 13 percent to 373 points week over week. The Cape index ...
Monday, 18 January 16
Q1'16 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 42.50 PER TON; UP 1% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery rose US$ 0.43 (1.02%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap is ...
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PTC India Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
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