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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 22 January 16
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION ESTIMATES ALMOST FLAT
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.3 million shor ...
Friday, 22 January 16
COAL PRICES TO REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE THIS YEAR
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and week over week. The falling trend of prices for coal was continuing ...
Friday, 22 January 16
Q3' 16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 40.80; DECLINE $ 2.80 M-O-M
COALspot.com: Q1’ 2016 API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap up month over month and decline week over week.
The Q1’ 2016 FOB Richards B ...
Wednesday, 20 January 16
Q3'16 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED $ 2.40 LESSER THAN Q1'16 CLOSING PRICE OF $ 38.10
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery rose another $0.77 per ton (2.06%) this past week compared to the sam ...
Wednesday, 20 January 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - NASOS SOULAKIS
If you believe in the “January effect”, the theory according to which the beginning of a new year has a positive effect on financial in ...
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- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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