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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 26 January 16
OUTLOOK FOR GLOBAL OIL MARKETS - OPEC SECRETARY GENERAL
Opening address by HE Abdalla S. El-Badri, OPEC Secretary General, at the Chatham House Conference: Middle East and North Africa Energy 2016, Theme ...
Monday, 25 January 16
5700 GAR COAL INDEX CLOSED $ 50.08 PER TON, $0.20 LOWER FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin decline 1.35 percent week over week to averaging $39.39 per ton on this past Friday, ...
Monday, 25 January 16
SHOULD A DEFAULTING PARTY BE ENTITLED TO AN INNOCENT PARTY'S SAVING, FOLLOWING THEIR BREACH OF CONTRACT? - THE NEW FLAMENCO REVISITED
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
This case was addressed by the club in our of January 2015, when the High Court decision became available. The background ...
Monday, 25 January 16
DRY BULK SHIPPING: A MISERABLE START TO A NEW YEAR, WHERE THE MARKET STRUGGLES TO GROW AT ALL - BIMCO
The global production of steel dropped in 2015 compared to 2014, to a larger extent outside China, as China exported its surplus of steel to destin ...
Sunday, 24 January 16
PANAMAX MARKET WEAKENS ACROSS THE BOARD
COALspot.com: The Baltic Dry Index, which gauges the cost of shipping dry bulk including iron ore, cement, grain, coal and fertiliser, fell ninetee ...
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- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The University of Queensland
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Australian Coal Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
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