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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 31 January 16
BDI CONTINUED ITS FALL AND CLOSE AT A FRESH RECORD LOW ON FRIDAY
COALspot.com: The Baltic Dry Index, which gauges the cost of shipping dry bulk including iron ore, cement, grain, coal and fertilizer, continued it ...
Friday, 29 January 16
INDONESIAN BENCHMARK COAL PRICE SETTLES DOWN $ 0.31, OR 0.58%, AT $ 53.20 A TON
COALspot.com: Low coal demand and excess supplies sent Indonesian benchmark coal price further down in January 2016. HBA has slumped by 0.58 ...
Friday, 29 January 16
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION OFF 2 PERCENT FROM LAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.1 milli ...
Thursday, 28 January 16
COAL REMAINS THE NO.1 FUEL FOR POWER GENERATION - EXXONMOBIL
COALspot.com: Energy demand trends from 2010 to 2040 are expected to vary significantly around the world, as countries move along very different tr ...
Thursday, 28 January 16
WHAT ARE THE PROSPECTS FOR COAL IN LIGHT OF THE PARIS CLIMATE AGREEMENT? - GERMAN COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
This depends – says the VDKi – to a very great extent on who you want to believe more, the United Nations or the International Energy A ...
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
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