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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 03 February 16
DRY BULK MARKET CONTINUES TO BE UNDER PRESSURE - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market continues to be under pressure, with the BDI remaining in search of even the slightest support, which seems to be delaying more ...
Tuesday, 02 February 16
RECORD EXPORTS THROUGH SOUTH AFRICA'S RICHARDS BAY COAL TERMINAL MADE AT EXPENSE OF SMALLER RIVALS, IHS SAYS
Five percent increase in coal exports through South Africa’s dominant Richards Bay Coal Terminal in 2015 unlikely to accelerate country&rsquo ...
Tuesday, 02 February 16
SETTING ASIDE, STRIKING OUT AND APPEALS TO THE COURT OF APPEAL IN SHIP ARRESTS - RAJAH & TANN ASIA LLP
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The Singapore Court of Appeal once again has had to grapple with ship arrest, setting aside and appeals to the Court unde ...
Monday, 01 February 16
DRY BULK SUFFERS FROM POSEIDON'S POTENT PRONGS - CLARKSONS
It has been a grim start to 2016 for the bulkcarrier market, with the Baltic Dry Index sliding to new record lows on almost every day of the year s ...
Monday, 01 February 16
INDONESIA'S SECOND LARGEST COAL MINER ADARO ENERGY HAS PRODUCED 51.46 MT IN 2015; 8% LOWER COMPARED TO FY14
COALspot.com: Adaro Energy, the Indonesia’s second largest coal producer by volume has produced 51.46 Mt in 2015, 8% lower compared to ...
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Australian Coal Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The University of Queensland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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