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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 12 February 16
COAL PRICES ARE EXPECTED TO DECLINE 13% IN 2016 TO $50 ATON, ON CONTINUED WEAK DEMAND AND OVERSUPPLY - WORLD BANK
COALspot.com: Thermal coal prices fell 9 percent in the fourth quarter on continued weak demand, high stocks, and surplus production, World Bank sa ...
Friday, 12 February 16
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION OFF 5.4% FROM LAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 12.9 million shor ...
Thursday, 11 February 16
GLOBAL NEWBUILDING ORDERBOOK IS SHRINKING ON A DAILY BASIS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
2016 has started right where 2015 left off when it comes to newbuilding ordering activity, i.e. there are slim pickings to be had from shipyards ar ...
Wednesday, 10 February 16
SOUTH AFRICA IS HOPING TO SHIP MORE COAL TO INDIA IN 2016
COALspot.com: South Africa is hoping to boost coal exports to India after shipping a record 75.4 million tonnes of coal in 2015, industry officials ...
Wednesday, 10 February 16
OWNERS APPEAR WILLING TO DISPOSE OF TONNAGE THE SOONEST IT HITS THE 10 YEAR MARK - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
COALspot.com: The last two months of 2015 made a case for traditional shipowners to invest in the dry bulk sector, doing so though based purely on ...
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
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