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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 24 February 16
PRIVATE EQUITY FUNDS LOOKING TO EXIT SHIPPING, MOST NOTABLY DRY BULK, AS OVERORDERING HAS RESULTED IN EXCESS TONNAGE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The injection of more than $13 billion in shipping from various private equity funds over the past few years has resulted in what many feared would ...
Wednesday, 24 February 16
THIRTEEN - NOT ALWAYS AN UNLUCKY NUMBER? - CLARKSONS
Back in early 1999 the price of a 5 year old Panamax bulkcarrier dipped to $13.5m, and ever since analysts have hailed purchase decisions made at t ...
Monday, 22 February 16
4200 GAR COAL INDEX SETTLES AT $27.02, DOWN 0.07% FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin decline 0.17 percent week over week to averaging $38.89 per ton on this past Friday, ...
Monday, 22 February 16
FREIGHT MARKETS PICKED UP SLIGHTLY THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight markets picked up slightly this past week.
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) of dry-bulk shipping freights, a measure of gl ...
Friday, 19 February 16
INDONESIAN HBA HITS A NEW LOWS BELOW $51 A TON AS OVERSUPPLY, LOW DEMAND WOES PERSIST
COALspot.com: Low coal demand and excess supplies sent Indonesian benchmark coal price further deep in February 2016. HBA has slumped second time t ...
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
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