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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 09 March 16
U.S. COAL EXPORTS DECLINED 24% (74 MMST) IN 2015; COAL PRODUCTION IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE BY 111 MMST IN 2016 - EIA
U.S. Coal Supply
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production for February 2016 was 54 million short tons (MMst), a 4 MMst (7%) decrease from the prev ...
Wednesday, 09 March 16
RI MAY HAVE TO IMPORT COAL FOR FUTURE POWER PLANTS: STUDY - THE JAKARTA POST
With coal prices continuing to decline, Indonesia will struggle to provide the coal needed to fire up its power stations in the near future, a stud ...
Tuesday, 08 March 16
INDONESIA HIKES COAL BENCHMARK PRICE FOR THE FIRST TIME IN 12 MONTHS
COALspot.com: Low coal demand and excess supplies sent Indonesian benchmark coal price further deep in February 2016, but up slightly in Mar ...
Tuesday, 08 March 16
THE DRY CARGO MARKET ENDURED ONE OF ITS MOST DIFFICULT YEARS IN 2015, EXPERIENCING LOWS NOT SEEN SINCE THE MID 1980S - CLARKSONS
Whilst shipping and offshore markets have seen some good opportunities during 2015, overall there have been unprecedented challenges, so we are ver ...
Monday, 07 March 16
INDONESIAN 5700 GAR COAL INDEX DECLINE $0.05 A TON WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin decline 0.28 percent week over week to averaging $38.66 per ton on this past Friday, ...
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- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The University of Queensland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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