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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 20 September 22
CHINA COAL OUTPUT UP 8.1 PCT IN AUGUST - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output posted stable expansion in August, official data showed.
The country produced 370 million tonnes of ra ...
Monday, 19 September 22
BUMA AUSTRALIA AWARDED A$400 MILLION CONTRACT EXTENSION BY BMA FOR GOONYELLA PROJECT
Press Release – PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. (the "Company") announced that its subsidiary, PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama ("BUMA ...
Saturday, 17 September 22
CHINA WARNS COAL COMPANIES AGAINST DUAL CONTRACTS, KEEP PRICES STABLE - REUTERS
China’s state economic planner warned coal companies operating at ports in the Bohai Bay region to comply with their long-term contracts to k ...
Saturday, 17 September 22
IS A GLOBAL RECESSION IMMINENT? - WORLD BANK
Since the beginning of the year, a rapid deterioration of growth prospects coupled with rising inflation and tightening financing conditions, has i ...
Saturday, 17 September 22
FITCH RATINGS REVISES GLOBAL METALS & MINING PRICE ASSUMPTIONS
Fitch Ratings has revised its metals and mining price assumptions reflecting evolving economic growth expectations and demand and supply dynamics.
...
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- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
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