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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 02 August 16
INDONESIAN CS COAL INDICES STAY POSITIVE
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin rose 0.71% week over week to averaging $41.12 per ton this past week, shows CS (i) C ...
Monday, 01 August 16
4200 GAR INDONESIAN COAL PRICE MAY TOUCH $ 32/33 A TON LEVELS SOON
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal prices are likely surge further in 2016 as the recent price movement in Indonesian coal markets suggests that the mar ...
Monday, 01 August 16
BALTIC INDEX ENDED NEGATIVE NOTE THIS PAST WEEK ON WEAKER RATES ACROSS ALL LARGE VESSEL SEGMENTS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities slide slightly as Cape, Panamax and Supramax segments end ...
Friday, 29 July 16
U.S. COAL OUTPUT SLIPS SLIGHTLY WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers has produced approximately totalled an estimated 15 million short tons ( ...
Thursday, 28 July 16
FITCH RAISES CORPORATE OIL PRICE ASSUMPTION FOR 2016 TO USD42
Fitch Ratings has raised the 2016 oil price assumptions it uses when rating energy-sector corporates, but expects record high inventories to slow a ...
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The University of Queensland
- Planning Commission, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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