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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 03 November 16
CAPESIZE: BRAZIL/CHINA RATES MOVED TO THE $11 PMT LEVEL; WEST AUSTRALIA/CHINA ROUTE MOVED UP CLOSE TO MID $5 PMT LEVEL - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
In the Atlantic we see a bit more activity than in the eastern hemisphere, says Fearnleys in its latest weekly report. Fhauls via Black ...
Wednesday, 02 November 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT
A week before the U.S. presidential election, everyone is eager to see the socio-political effects that the result of these elections will have. As ...
Wednesday, 02 November 16
SHIP OPERATING COSTS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE IN BOTH 2016 AND 2017 - MOORE STEPHENS
Vessel operating costs are expected to rise in both 2016 and 2017. Repairs and maintenance and spares are the cost categories which are likely to i ...
Tuesday, 01 November 16
PANAMAX : A FAIR AMOUNT OF SIDEWAYS SHIPPING IN RATES - ALLIED SHIPPING
Capesize
A very sluggish start to the week, with rates dropping considerably as all optimism seems to have evaporated over the weekend. According ...
Tuesday, 01 November 16
IMPROVEMENT ON THE DEMAND SIDE ONLY BUT THE SUPPLY SIDE IS WORSE OFF - BIMCO
Back in May, BIMCO disclosed a projected “road to recovery” for the dry bulk shipping industry. The main message back then on what the ...
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Planning Commission, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
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