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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 04 April 17
THE IRON ORE HAS BEEN ABLE TO KEEP ITS GROWTH PATH FAIRLY WELL; THERE IS STILL ONE PART OF THE WORLD THAT IS STILL HEAVILY COMMITTED TO COAL
With the close of March having let us with a very positive after taste and having witnessed near the end of the month the Baltic Dry Index at its h ...
Monday, 03 April 17
WORLD COAL TRADE STABLE IN 2016: DEMAND SHIFTS TO SOUTH-EAST ASIA - ASSOCARBONI
ASSOCARBONI: Coal confirmed as the leading fuel for electricity generation, accounting for 40% of overall production in 2016.
World coal trade ...
Monday, 03 April 17
DRY BULK RATES CONTINUING TO FIRMING UP
COALspot.com: The Freight market was continuing to firming up. Baltic Panamax Index rose 12.81 percent week over week.
The Baltic Exchang ...
Friday, 31 March 17
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION INCREASE SLIGHTLY WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 14.5 million short tons ...
Thursday, 30 March 17
WHERE AN AGREEMENT FAILS TO DELIVER - WATSON FARLEY & WILLIAMS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Watson Farley & Williams acted for MRI Trading AG in a leading case on ‘agreements to agree’ that was fin ...
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Planning Commission, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
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