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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 20 June 17
WORLD ECONOMY SHOWS A MORE OPTIMISTIC TREND
During the past weeks, we have seen many organizations and think tanks show a more optimistic face with regards to the world economy. The World Ban ...
Monday, 19 June 17
PANAMAX RATES HELP BALTIC INDEX TO A POSITIVE MOVE
COALspot.com: The Freight market rose very marginally this past week compared to the previous week, as BDI and Panamax indexes show a positive tren ...
Friday, 16 June 17
WEEKLY U.S. COAL PRODUCTION RISES; UP 24.1% Y/Y
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.5 million short tonn ...
Thursday, 15 June 17
SUPRAMAX NICKEL ORE FROM PHILIPPINES TO S. CHINA PAYING AROUND MID $10000 - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Market looked more promising from both sides of the basins. Within Atlantic USG returned with tick better rates seen as tonnage kept tig ...
Wednesday, 14 June 17
WORLD COAL PRODUCTION FELL BY 6.2%, THE LARGEST ANNUAL DECLINE ON RECORD - BP
COALspot.com: The 2017 edition of the BP Statistical Review of World Energy, shows global energy markets continuing to undergo long-term changes as ...
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- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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- VISA Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
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- The University of Queensland
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
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- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Deloitte Consulting - India
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
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- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
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- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Coal Association
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
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- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
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- Interocean Group of Companies - India
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- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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- Aditya Birla Group - India
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
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- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
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- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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