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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 10 July 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
The trade dispute saga continued over the past week, as new tariffs were put into force on Friday in both the U.S. and China and have already taken ...
Tuesday, 10 July 18
SUPPORTING SULPHUR 2020 CONSISTENT IMPLEMENTATION - IMO
An IMO working group is meeting (9-13 July) to develop guidelines to support the consistent implementation of the 0.50% limit for the sulphur conte ...
Monday, 09 July 18
RISING COAL PRICES LIFTING AUSTRALIA'S EXPORT REVENUES BUT INVESTORS STAYING AWAY - NEWCASTLE HERALD
Newcastle coal prices have risen more than 40 per cent in a year to be at their highest levels for seven years but the industry is becoming increas ...
Saturday, 07 July 18
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN MARKET STRUGGLED; A 57K-DWT WAS REPORTED FIXED BASIS DELIVERY SINGAPORE FOR A TRIP VIA INDONESIA REDELIVERY INDIA AT $12K
Capesize
A punchy week for the big ships that saw Atlantic rates soar, with the tonnage list tight prompting charterers to split cargoes, thoug ...
Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in i ...
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- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Planning Commission, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The University of Queensland
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
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