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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 02 August 18
INDO / CHINA COAL RV'S IS PAYING AROUND USD 11,000 TO SUPRAS BSS DELIVERY SINGAPORE - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
The counter seasonally strong market during the summer months bodes well for the remainder of the year.
According ...
Wednesday, 01 August 18
JOKOWI CANCELS PLAN TO REVOKE COAL DMO - JP
President Joko "Jokowi" Widodo on Tuesday has canceled the government’s plan to revoke the domestic market obligation (DMO) for coa ...
Wednesday, 01 August 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GIANNIS ANDRITSOPOULOS
The dry bulk market activity over the past four weeks has remained stable when compared to the previous months. There are concerns with regards to ...
Tuesday, 31 July 18
INDONESIA UNLIKELY TO CHANGE COAL SUPPLY, PRICING RULES UNTIL 2019 - REUTERS
Indonesia is unlikely to change its rules on domestic coal supply and pricing until 2019, Coordinating Maritime Minister Luhut Pandjaitan said on M ...
Tuesday, 31 July 18
ENERGY MINISTRY REMAINS FIRM ON DMO POLICY FOR COAL - JP
The Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry has stressed that it will not cancel its policy on the domestic market obligation (DMO) for coal, as the ...
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- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Planning Commission, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- White Energy Company Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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