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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 07 May 19
UNDOUBTEDLY A VERY TROUBLED YEAR FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET, SAYS ALLIED SHIPPING
Undoubtedly a very troubled year for the dry bulk market says Allied Shipping in its latest weekly report.
Thomas Chasapis, Re ...
Saturday, 04 May 19
HOW THE 'FAIR VALUE' OF COAL ASSETS IS AFFECTED BY COMMODITY CYCLES - CRU
As with any commodity, valuing coal assets can be tricky due to the cyclical nature of the market. In this insight, CRU discusses how commodity cyc ...
Friday, 03 May 19
SUPRAMAX: WITH WIDESPREAD HOLIDAYS DURING THE WEEK, THE MARKET LACKED IMPETUS - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market last week was a tale of two halves, with substantial volatility. Beginning the week on a positive note the C5 West Australi ...
Friday, 03 May 19
COAL INDIA APRIL OUTPUT RISES 1% TO 45.29 MILLION TONNE - PTI
Coal India Ltd (CIL) Wednesday said its coal production in April 2019 rose by 1 per cent to 45.29 million tonne as compared with 44.86 million tonn ...
Sunday, 28 April 19
SUPRAMAX: A 54,000DWT VESSEL OPEN GRESIK FIXED VIA AUSTRALIA, REDELIVERY CHINA, IN THE MID $12,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Following the holidays, activity increased in both the Pacific and Atlantic Basins. The 5TC average rallied, closing at $8,596, up $1, ...
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- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
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