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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 23 June 19
SUPRAMAX: A 56,000-DWT WAS FIXED FROM INDONESIA TO VIETNAM AT $10,000 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The story over the past week has been largely Atlantic dominated as the basin’s uniquely volatile characteristics came into play ...
Saturday, 22 June 19
OPEC'S BATTLE FOR CONTROL OF THE OIL MARKET - WOOD MACKENZIE
Oil supply is confounding expectations. We have just raised our forecasts for non-OPEC production, the latest in a series of incremental increases. ...
Friday, 21 June 19
INDONESIA'S BAYAN RESOURCES SIGNED A COAL SUPPLY AGREEMENT WITH THE BANGLADESH BCPCL TO SUPPLY 23 MILLION TONS OF COAL FOR 10 YEARS
On Monday, 17th June 2019, PT. Bayan Resources signed a Coal supply Agreement with the Bangladesh- China Power Company (Pvt.) Limited. BCPCL is a j ...
Thursday, 20 June 19
BUMI RESOURCES EXPECTS TO SELL 42 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN FIRST HALF - JAKARTA POST
PT Bumi Resources (BUMI), Indonesia's largest thermal coal miner, expects to close the first half of this year with coal sales of 42 million to ...
Tuesday, 18 June 19
TANKER SHIPPING: WHILE WE WAIT FOR 2020 TO KICK IN, IT'S ALL ABOUT POLITICS - BIMCO
Demand drivers and freight rates
Iran, Libya and Venezuela face export limitations because of sanctions and internal political troubles. At the s ...
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- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PTC India Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Planning Commission, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
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